Obama Is Crumbling, Part 3: The signs are building
Everyone say it with me: preference cascade. It’s the moment when a population realizes that it’s okay to oppose the existing leader . . . and then it begins to do so in overwhelming numbers. We won’t see all the signs of it in America, because our media are averting their eyes from it. But it does appear to be underway. Caution is always warranted, but the signs are building. (See a great list of these signs at Instapundit, including the fact that we now have Rob Schneider on our side. First Li-Lo, and not Rob Schneider . . . we can’t lose!)
More signs . . .
First, though we mentioned it yesterday, it must be repeated: Republicans now outnumber Democrats, according to Gallup. This is only the first time since exit polls began, and it is possibly the first time since 1920. What’s THAT going to do to turnout?
Bob Krumm shows . . .
- why the map has shifted decisively in Romney’s favor
- why Democrats’ faith in Nate Silver this year is unfounded
- why dissatisfaction with the president is a hugely important metric
The implications of this should be obvious. A tide of opinion against Obama may be building to a crescendo. There’s still time for something to happen to stem that tide, but time is running very short now.
In fact, his approval is at an all-time low.
According to Gallup, Barack Obama’s quarterly approval hit an all-time low in the president’s eleventh quarter in office at 41 percent.
Not exactly the direction you want to be headed a week out from the election.
(See The Two Polls That Have Chicago Terrified for more.)
Obama is doing worse that expected with Jewish voters. First there was evidence from Florida and New jersey, and now Michigan. Does Romney win Michigan? Maybe, maybe not, but this is still a sign that things are moving Romney’s way, possibly in historic proportions.
From Michigan to Iowa . . .
More than one swing state newspaper has bucked decades-old trends and endorsed a Republican for president. Bucking decades-old historical trends is not a coincidence or a meaningless anomaly: a sign of something.
Obama’s campaign has the distinct feel of intellectual exhaustion. Benghazi is blowing up in Obama’s face (not as much as it would if he were a Republican, but enough). Romney has the momentum. Even Michael Barone is going out on a limb.
The Democrats will cheat, and the media will scramble, but things are not going well for the Incredible Shrinking President. The economy is struggling. The fundamentals are not with him. It ain’t over till it’s over, but the trend is unmistakable.