Good News Election Roundup

| September 27 2012
Christopher Cook

Romney Pulls Ahead

Finally, with Obama below 50% of the vote in most swing states, he is hitting up against a glass ceiling in the high 40s. He can’t get past it except in heavily Democratic states like New York or California. The first time Obama breaks 50 will not be on Election Day. Either he consistently polls above 50% of the vote or he won’t ever get there in the actual vote.

So here’s where the race really stands today based on Rasmussen’s polling:

• Romney leads decisively in all states McCain carried (173 electoral votes).

• Romney is more than ten points ahead in Indiana – which Obama carried. (11 electoral votes)

• Romney leads Obama in the following states the president carried in 2008: Iowa (44-47) North Carolina (45-51), Colorado (45-47), and New Hampshire (45-48). He’ll probably win them all. (34 electoral votes).

This comes to 218 of the 270 Romney needs. But…

• Obama is below 50% of the vote in a handful of key swing states and leads Romney by razor thin margins in each one. All these states will go for Romney unless and until Obama can show polling support of 50% of the vote . . . keep reading

Election ‘mania’ missing on college campuses

ELMHURST, Ill. (AP) – What a difference four years can make.

In 2008, college campuses were filled with campaign posters and political rallies – and frenzy. Remember “Obamamania?” This year, it’s difficult to find a college student who’s truly excited about the presidential race.

“Politics has gone back to that thing you don’t want to bring up,” says Abraham Mulberry. He’s a freshman at Elmhurst College in suburban Chicago who’s trying to start a club for young Democrats.

Last election, his campus had an active Students for Obama chapter, organized well before the election. But this time, there’s nary a campaign placard, for either President Barack Obama or Republican candidate Mitt Romney.

“I wouldn’t say the election is the No. 1 hot-button issue here,” Mulberry says, disappointedly.

Granted, you don’t see many signs of campaign enthusiasm in the neighborhoods that surround his campus, or elsewhere for that matter. But it’s telling that, on many college campuses across the country – where, in 2008, then-candidate Obama’s messages of “hope” and “change” easily took hold – the mood is markedly more subdued . . . keep reading

Also, keep checking in at Jim Geraghty’s Campaign Spot for indispensable election news, especially on the subject of the misfeasance of media polling operations. Two good recent examples:

This Morning’s Polls Project More Heavily Democratic Electorates Than 2008

Cillizza: No One Expects 2012 to Be Close to 2008 for Democrats

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