Updates from the AZ GOP: Carmona, Republican enthusiasm in AZ

| August 31 2012

Arizona Further Proof of Obama’s Failed Policies 

Recruited Richard Carmona, But Democrats Down 180,000 Voters One Year Later

PHOENIX – When Arizona voters watch the election returns tonight they will be reminded that the numbers behind this primary election say a lot about President Obama and the Democrat Party who severely underestimated just how many Arizonans are disillusioned and disappointed with Obama’s failed leadership.  Once considered a battleground state by many Democrats, voters have been flocking to the Republican side based on the results of Obama’s extremely liberal politics causing unemployment to stay above 8% for 42 straight months, a failing economy, a Medicare-busting ObamaCare program and tax increases on small businesses.  In fact, it’s because of the Democrat’s extremely liberal agenda that Republicans currently hold every statewide executive branch office and have a supermajority in the legislature.
Just one year ago, Democrat leaders in Arizona and Washington, D.C. still had sufficiently high hopes for Obama’s re-election chances in Arizona to begin selecting candidates like Democrat Richard Carmona to ride into the U.S. Senate on the President’s coat-tails.  Obama, however, has not been seen in Arizona since January 2012.  Republicans now outnumber Democrats in Arizona by 180,000 which is an increase of 30,000 voters in less than a year.  Today, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report ranks Arizona as “Likely Republican.”
“Democrats had high hopes for the Obama Presidency but the facts speak for themselves, and here we are in 2012 where those hopes have been crushed by his ongoing failure on jobs and the economy and now voters are supporting the Republicans solutions,” said Arizona Republican Party spokesman Tim Sifert.  “As of four months ago, Obama was still saying that Arizona would be competitive for him and his fellow Democrats like Richard Carmona, but now the reality of just how wrong he was has set in.”
BACKGROUND …

Obama Campaign in April: AZ a “swing state”

“It is going to be a swing state,” said Jim Messina, the president’s campaign manager. (Adam Nagourney, “Obama Camp, Seeing Shift, Bets on Long Shot in Arizona” The New York Times, 4-15-12)

But “very liberal” Obama Keeps Arizona Red

“Thirty-nine percent of the country sees Obama as being ‘very liberal,’” (Aaron Blake, “GOP poll: Two-fifths of Americans say Obama is ‘very liberal’” The Washington Post, 8/27/12)

As Republican Enthusiasm Surges, Democrat Support Dwindles

Romney Is “Winning The Favor Of Small Business Owners… And It’s Not Even Close.” “Main Street has already proved an important battleground in the presidential election. So which candidate is winning the favor of small business owners? Mitt Romney, and it’s not even close, according to a new poll.”(J.D. Harrison, “Poll: Romney Widens Lead Among Small Business Voters,” The Washington Post, 8/21/12)
 
“The President’s Numbers Have Fallen Six Points Since May, While Mitt Romney Has Picked Up Four Points With Business Owners.” (J.D. Harrison, “Poll: Romney Widens Lead Among Small Business Voters,” The Washington Post, 8/21/12)
 
Nine In 10 Voters Say The Economy Is “Important” For Them, While Half Say It Is “Extremely Important. “The frail economy, with the unemployment rate hovering at 8.3 percent more than three years after the deep recession officially ended, remains the No. 1 issue. Nine in 10 call it important for them and half of voters say it is ‘extremely important,’ outpacing all other issues tested by at least 10 percentage points.” (Josh Lederman and Tom Raum, “AP-GfK Poll Shows White House Race Still Tight,” The Associated Press, 8/21/12)
“Two-Thirds In The Poll Described The Economy As Poor.” (Josh Lederman and Tom Raum, “AP-GfK Poll Shows White House Race Still Tight,” The Associated Press, 8/21/12)
41 Percent Of Independents Support Romney Compared To 30 Percent Who Back Obama. “Among true independents, those who say they do not lean toward either party, the share of undecided voters is declining, with each candidate picking up new support at about the same pace. However, Romney maintains a small advantage with the group, with the backing of 41 percent of independents to Obama’s 30 percent. Some 21 percent still say they support neither candidate.” (Josh Lederman and Tom Raum, “AP-GfK Poll Shows White House Race Still Tight,” The Associated Press, 8/21/12)
 
“More Than Six In 10 Believe The Country Is Headed In The Wrong Direction, Which Is Essentially Unchanged From Last Month.” (Mark Murray, “NBC/WSJ Poll: Heading Into Conventions, Obama Has Four-Point Lead,” NBC News, 8/21/12)
The Wall Street Journal/NBC News Poll:  “Not Surprisingly, Romney Holds A Six-Point Advantage Over Obama (44 Percent To 38 Percent) On Which Candidate Has Better Ideas On How To Improve The Economy.” (Mark Murray, “NBC/WSJ Poll: Heading Into Conventions, Obama Has Four-Point Lead,” NBC News, 8/21/12)
The Wall Street Journal/NBC News Poll: 54 Percent Of Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy, While 44 Percent Approve. (NBC/The Wall Street Journal Poll, 1000 RV, MoE 3.1%, 8/16-20/12)
45 Percent Of Voters Say That Romney Has Better “Executive And Managerial Skills” Compared To 32 Percent Who Say Obama Does. (NBC/The Wall Street Journal Poll, 1000 RV, MoE 3.1%, 8/16-20/12)
 
37 Percent Of Voters Say Romney Would Be Better At “Changing Business As Usual In Washington” Compared To 31 Percent Who Say Obama Would Be Better. (NBC/The Wall Street Journal Poll, 1000 RV, MoE 3.1%, 8/16-20/12)

Arizona Republicans Strongly Outnumber Democrats

Republicans outnumber Democrats 1,113,123 to 935,098, a difference of 178,025 voters. (Voter Registration Count, Arizona Secretary of State, azsos.gov 8/14/12)

Obama Keeping Away From Arizona

Obama hasn’t been to Arizona since January, and Vice President Joe Biden was last here in April. By comparison, Romney has made at least four trips to the state since December.” (Ronald J. Hansen, “Romney Solidifies His Edge In Arizona, The Arizona Republic, August 22, 2012)