PPP poll now shows Romney leading in Pennsylvania

| April 5 2012
Christopher Cook

During the last presidential election PPP was ranked by the Wall Street Journal as one of the top two best polling outfits going in terms of accuracy—a deviation of just 1.04. (Only Survey USA did better with .96.)

PPP now has Romney up by 5 over Santorum:

Mitt Romney’s taken the lead in PPP’s newest poll of Rick Santorum’s home state of Pennsylvania. Romney has 42% to 37% for Santorum with Ron Paul at 9% and Newt Gingrich at 6%. The numbers represent a dramatic turnaround from when PPP polled the state a month ago. Romney’s gained 17 points, going from 25% to 42%. Meanwhile Santorum’s dropped 6 points from 43% to 37%, for an overall swing of 23 points in the last four weeks.

Pennsylvania Republicans are starting to look at electability and inevitability as perhaps more important even than voting for a favorite son of the state . . .

Pennsylvania Republicans are expressing major doubts about Santorum’s viability both in the primary and the general election. Only 36% of GOP voters think Santorum has a realistic chance at the nomination to 54% who believe he does not. And when it comes to matching up against Barack Obama in the fall only 24% of Republicans think Santorum would provide their best chance for a victory while 49% think that designation belongs to Romney.

Twice as many people think Romney is more electable—that’s a large margin. There are almost 20 days till Pennsylvania votes, and on that day, several other states that Romney has a good shot at winning are also on tap. If this poll is not an outlier—and if more polls come out showing Santorum losing Pennsylvania—the calls for him to pull out may increase. He may even feel an urge himself, to avoid being beaten in his home state.
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