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Elections, Politics

PPP poll now shows Romney leading in Pennsylvania

Posted: April 5, 2012 at 9:15 am   /   by

During the last presidential election PPP was ranked by the Wall Street Journal as one of the top two best polling outfits going in terms of accuracy—a deviation of just 1.04. (Only Survey USA did better with .96.)

PPP now has Romney up by 5 over Santorum:

Mitt Romney’s taken the lead in PPP’s newest poll of Rick Santorum’s home state of Pennsylvania. Romney has 42% to 37% for Santorum with Ron Paul at 9% and Newt Gingrich at 6%. The numbers represent a dramatic turnaround from when PPP polled the state a month ago. Romney’s gained 17 points, going from 25% to 42%. Meanwhile Santorum’s dropped 6 points from 43% to 37%, for an overall swing of 23 points in the last four weeks.

Pennsylvania Republicans are starting to look at electability and inevitability as perhaps more important even than voting for a favorite son of the state . . .

Pennsylvania Republicans are expressing major doubts about Santorum’s viability both in the primary and the general election. Only 36% of GOP voters think Santorum has a realistic chance at the nomination to 54% who believe he does not. And when it comes to matching up against Barack Obama in the fall only 24% of Republicans think Santorum would provide their best chance for a victory while 49% think that designation belongs to Romney.

Twice as many people think Romney is more electable—that’s a large margin. There are almost 20 days till Pennsylvania votes, and on that day, several other states that Romney has a good shot at winning are also on tap. If this poll is not an outlier—and if more polls come out showing Santorum losing Pennsylvania—the calls for him to pull out may increase. He may even feel an urge himself, to avoid being beaten in his home state.
Christopher Cook
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Christopher Cook

Managing Editor at Western Free Press
Christopher Cook is a writer, editor, and political commentator. He is the president of Castleraine, Inc., a consulting firm providing a diverse array of services to corporate, public policy, and not-for-profit clients.

Ardently devoted to the cause of human freedom, he has worked at the confluence of politics, activism, and public policy for more than a decade. He co-wrote a ten-part series of video shorts on economics, and has film credits as a researcher on 11 political documentaries, including Citizens United's notorious film on Hillary Clinton that became the subject of a landmark Supreme Court decision. He is the founder of several activist endeavors, including AnyStreet.org (now a part of Western Free Press) and Liberatchik.com. He is currently the managing editor of and principal contributor to WesternFreePress.com.
Christopher Cook
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PPP poll now shows Romney leading in Pennsylvania